Data - Uncertainty

Thomas Bayes


How likely is this prediction to be true?

Machines are less arrogant than humans, and they acknowledge uncertainty in their code by returning a probability distribution or confidence interval of possible answers instead of claiming to know the precise result for every input.

Thomas Bayes anticipated the need for dealing with uncertainty and formulated Bayes's rule.

A scientist is never certain. … We absolutely must leave room for doubt or there is no progress and there is no learning.

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Thomas Bayes
Data Mining - (Prediction|Guess)

Something predictable is showing a pattern and is therefore not truly random. entropytrue randomness Many forms of data mining model are predictive. For example, a model might predict income based on...

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