Data Mining - (Classifier|Classification Function)

Thomas Bayes

About

A classifier is a Supervised function (machine learning tool) where the learned (target) attribute is categorical (“nominal”) in order to classify.

It is used after the learning process to classify new records (data) by giving them the best target attribute (prediction).

Rows are classified into buckets. For instance, if data has feature x, it goes into bucket one; if not, it goes into bucket two.

The target attribute can be one of k class membership.

Classification

To summarize the results of the classifier, a Confusion matrix may be used.

Type

In classification, there is two kind of problem:

  • binary
  • multi-class

One

One class classification: Data Mining - (Anomaly|outlier) Detection

Binary

A two class problem (binary problem) has possibly only two outcomes:

  • “yes or no”
  • “success” or “failure”

Multi-class

A multi-class problem has more than two possible outcomes.

Example

Example Prediction Illustrate the Model
Filter Spam Yes or No Binary Classification
Purchasing Product X Yes or No Binary Classification
Defaulting on a loan Yes or No Binary Classification
Failing in the manufacturing process Yes or No Binary Classification
Producing revenue Low, Medium, High Multi-class Classification
Differing from known cases Yes or No One-class Classification

Mathematical Notation

The classification task is to build a function that takes as input the feature vector X and predicts its value for the outcome Y i.e.

<math> C(X) \in C </math> where:

  • X is a feature vector
  • Y is a qualitative response taking values in the set C

C of X gives you values in the set C.

Probabilities

Often we are more interested in estimating the probabilities (confidence) that X belongs to each category in C.

For example, it is more valuable to have an estimate of the probability that an insurance claim is fraudulent, than a classification fraudulent or not.

You can imagine, in the one situation, you might have a probability of 0.9 the claim is fraudulent. And in another case, it might be 0.98. Now in both cases, those might both be above the threshold of raising the flag that this is a fraudulent insurance claim. But if you're going to look into the claim, and you're going to spend some hours investigating, you'll probably go for the 0.98 first before the 0.9. So estimating the probabilities is also key.

Data Analysis

Data (Analysis|Analyse|Analytics)

Classification Data Analyse

Data structure / Model

Most of the algorithms are based on this data structure (knowledge representation):

Logistic Regression versus LDA

  • Logistic regression uses the conditional likelihood based on Pr(Y|X) (known as discriminative learning).
  • LDA uses the full likelihood based on Pr(X|Y) (known as generative learning).
  • Despite these differences, in practice the results are often very similar.

Summary

  • Logistic regression is very popular for classification, especially when K = 2.
  • LDA is useful when n is small, or the classes are well separated, and Gaussian assumptions are reasonable. Also when K > 2.
  • Naive Bayes is useful when p is very large

Model Accuracy

Others

MaxEnt and SVM uses another mathematical models and feature weight selection then Naive Bayes. The feature are more weighed.

Example

Given demographic data about a set of customers, predict customer response to an affinity card program

Documentation / Reference





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